Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000679 0.000709 0.000740 0.000773 0.000808 0.000845 0.000886
2025-11-09 0.000620 0.000663 0.000709 0.000760 0.000818 0.000879 0.000949
2025-11-16 0.000576 0.000628 0.000684 0.000750 0.000825 0.000907 0.001007
2025-11-23 0.000554 0.000615 0.000682 0.000762 0.000855 0.000961 0.001093
2025-11-30 0.000532 0.000598 0.000672 0.000763 0.000872 0.000999 0.001161
2025-12-07 0.000505 0.000575 0.000654 0.000753 0.000873 0.001017 0.001204
2025-12-14 0.000482 0.000553 0.000636 0.000741 0.000871 0.001030 0.001241
2025-12-21 0.000462 0.000536 0.000622 0.000733 0.000873 0.001046 0.001281
2025-12-28 0.000433 0.000506 0.000591 0.000702 0.000843 0.001021 0.001267
2026-01-04 0.000417 0.000490 0.000578 0.000692 0.000840 0.001029 0.001295
2026-01-11 0.000405 0.000479 0.000569 0.000688 0.000843 0.001046 0.001335
2026-01-18 0.000392 0.000467 0.000558 0.000680 0.000842 0.001054 0.001365
2026-01-25 0.000384 0.000460 0.000555 0.000683 0.000855 0.001085 0.001427
2026-02-01 0.000371 0.000447 0.000543 0.000673 0.000851 0.001092 0.001457
2026-02-08 0.000359 0.000436 0.000532 0.000665 0.000848 0.001100 0.001489
2026-02-15 0.000355 0.000434 0.000535 0.000675 0.000871 0.001146 0.001578
2026-02-22 0.000349 0.000429 0.000531 0.000676 0.000882 0.001174 0.001643
2026-03-01 0.000338 0.000418 0.000521 0.000667 0.000877 0.001179 0.001671
2026-03-08 0.000328 0.000407 0.000510 0.000658 0.000871 0.001181 0.001695
2026-03-15 0.000320 0.000399 0.000502 0.000651 0.000868 0.001189 0.001727
2026-03-22 0.000304 0.000380 0.000480 0.000624 0.000836 0.001150 0.001681
2026-03-29 0.000296 0.000371 0.000471 0.000616 0.000830 0.001151 0.001702
2026-04-05 0.000290 0.000365 0.000465 0.000612 0.000832 0.001163 0.001742